|

|
Barack Obama for President |
|
||||||
|
|
#81 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Zogby Poll
Texas Democratic Feb. 29, 2008 Obama 48.2%, Clinton 41.7% Hispanic Clinton 54.9%, Obama 33.1% Black Obama 84.9%, Clinton 7.5% Female Obama 47.0%, Clinton 45.4% Male Obama 49.5%, Clinton 37.5% Here P.S. -- Clinton maintains a slim lead in Ohio, 44.1% to 41.5%.
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#82 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Mark Penn is an Idiot
Just last week, Bill Clinton said that if Hillary doesn't win both Texas and Ohio, she's finished. I agree. He went on to say that if she wins both Texas and Ohio, she will be the nominee. I don't agree with that unless she wins both states in a landslide, which is just not going to happen. A couple of days ago, Harold Ickes, a top aide in the Clinton campaign, said, "If we lose in Texas and Ohio, Mrs. Clinton will have to make her decision as to whether she goes forward or not." I agree. Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell, a Clinton supporter, said that in order for Hillary to win Pennsylvania in April, she must win Texas and Ohio on March 4. I agree. Clinton Campaign Chief Strategist Mark Penn issued a memo today saying that Barack Obama MUST WIN all four primaries March 4: Texas, Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island. According to this "genius," if Obama doesn't win ALL FOUR of these primaries convincingly, it means the voters are having second thoughts and they really want Hillary to be the nominee. Hillary is expected to win Rhode Island easily but that's the only state that looks easy for her right now. She may still win Ohio but she will probably lose Texas. Obama should carry Vermont. However, according to the brilliant Mark Penn, who has run the Clinton Campaign into the ditch, if Obama doesn't win all four March 4th primaries, it means the voters want Hillary to be the nominee. Is this guy on acid, or what? To: Interested Parties From: The Clinton Campaign Date: Friday, February 29, 2008 RE: Obama Must-Wins The media has (sic) anointed Barack Obama the presumptive nominee and he's playing the part. With an eleven state winning streak coming out of February, Senator Obama is riding a surge of momentum that has enabled him to pour unprecedented resources into Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont. The Obama campaign and its allies are outspending us two to one in paid media and have sent more staff into the March 4 states. In fact, when all is totaled, Senator Obama and his allies have outspent Senator Clinton by a margin of $18.4 million to $9.2 million on advertising in the four states that are voting next Tuesday. Senator Obama has campaigned hard in these states. He has spent time meeting editorial boards, courting endorsers, holding rallies, and - of course - making speeches. If he cannot win all of these states with all this effort, there's a problem. Should Senator Obama fail to score decisive victories with all of the resources and effort he is bringing to bear, the message will be clear: Democrats, the majority of whom have favored Hillary in the primary contests held to date, have their doubts about Senator Obama and are having second thoughts about him as a prospective standard-bearer.P.S. -- Mark Penn's statement that "Democrats, the majority of whom have favored Hillary in the primary contests held to date," is a stretch of the imagination. Here's how he arrived at that: He dropped all of the caucuses because Obama won most of the caucuses and then he added in the vote totals from Michigan, where Hillary's name was the only one on the ballot, and Florida, where none of the candidates campaigned. If you add up all of the votes to date, primary and caucuses, Obama has a lead of approximately 1 million votes over Hillary. That's without counting Michigan and Florida because those primaries don't count and both candidates agreed in advance that they wouldn't count. Hillary even made a public statement that there was no reason for her to remove her name from the Michigan ballot like all of the other Democratic candidates did because Michigan won't count anyway. She has since changed her mind and now wants her votes from Michigan to count even though her name was the only one on the ballot. The problem with the Clinton Campaign is that they are counting on their supporters to be too stupid to keep up with the news, unlike the latte-drinking, white-wine sipping intellectuals who support Obama. Those were Hillary's words to describe the typical Obama supporter who is non-black. And, of course, as Bill Clinton explained so eloquently following Obama's victory in the South Carolina primary, "Jesse Jackson did well in South Carolina, too." Obama beat Hillary by 9 points in Iowa and Iowa is 95% white. P.P.S. -- John McCain, the presumptive GOP nominee, raised $12 million in February. Hillary Clinton raised $35 million in February and Barack Obama raised $50 million. Rev. Mike Huckabee, who is still in the race, believe it or not, is getting free TV time on Saturday Night Live, where he plays the role of the village idiot.
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#83 | |
|
Owner
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: new jersey,usa
Posts: 7,753
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Quote:
He has to spend more money.... ![]()
__________________
Kind regards, Gene. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
#84 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Maybe Huckabee just wants to come in second? If he stays in the race all the way up to the convention, he might be able to overtake Mitt Romney.
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#85 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Hillary's New Campaign Ad
Did you see this? Hillary knows it's all over if she doesn't win both Texas and Ohio, so she's willing to get down and dirty in a last ditch effort to revitalize her failed campaign. What a shame! Instead of coming across as a strong, experienced candidate, she's coming across as unhinged. "If one candidate's appealing to your fears and the other one's appealing to your hopes, you better vote for the person who wants you to think and hope." -- Bill Clinton
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#86 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
More Polls Released Yesterday, Feb. 29th.
Ohio Democratic Feb. 29, ARG Clinton 50%, Obama 45% Texas Democratic Feb. 29, ARG Obama 51%, Clinton 44% All of the polls now show Obama with a lead in Texas and Clinton with a lead in Ohio. The only difference between the various polls is whether the separation is two or three points or six or seven points. And since the sample in some of these polls is ridiculously small (usually no more than 600 or so), there is plenty of room for error. If they aren't going to sample at least 1,000 people, they shouldn't even bother to publish the results. Some of the polls just prior to the New Hampshire primary had Obama ahead by double digits. Hillary won New Hampshire by three points. Anything can happen between now and Tuesday but right now it looks like Obama will win Texas and Hillary will win Ohio. Based on the absurd memo put out by her campaign guru, Mark Penn, it's obvious that Hillary wants to continue even if she loses Texas. Penn said that because of the advantage Obama has over them in money, anything less than a "decisive" win in all four primaries (Texas, Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island) means that Hillary is the person the people really want as the Democratic party's nominee. Even if Obama wins all four of those primaries, which is unlikely, the wins won't really count unless they are "decisive" wins. Winning by a few points doesn't count. Also, caucus victories don't count. And victories in most of the states that Obama has won don't count because those states are "insignificant." Why is Hillary paying this clown millions of dollars for crap like this? Look for the Clinton Campaign to declare "victory" in Texas if they even come close in the popular vote total in the primary. Texas allocates 67 delegates to their caucus and Obama, because of his superior organization on the ground, is likely to win big in the Texas caucus. Mark Penn will declare that the caucus votes don't really count. Any registered voters can vote in the Democratic primary in Texas but only registered Democrats can vote in the caucus, which is held the very same day as the primary. A Democrat in Texas can vote twice in the same day -- once in the primary and then again that same evening in the caucus. __________________________________________________ "If one candidate's appealing to your fears and the other one's appealing to your hopes, you better vote for the person who wants you to think and hope." -- Bill Clinton
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#87 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
First Huckabee, Now Hillary on SNL
Last week Saturday Night Live had Mike Huckabee playing the part of the village idiot and last night they had Hillary Clinton reprising her role as the candidate who gets picked on by the media who are all obviously madly in love with Barack Obama. I'm waiting to see which late night talk show she will pop up on tomorrow night. Probably Letterman. Barack is going to win Texas. I would be shocked if he doesn't. I just wish he could win both Texas and Ohio so that we could get Hillary to shut up. __________________________________________________ "If one candidate's appealing to your fears and the other one's appealing to your hopes, you better vote for the person who wants you to think and hope." -- Bill Clinton
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#88 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Clinton Campaign's Training Manual on How to Take Control of the Caucus Sign-In Sheets
Hillary Clinton and her campaign is (sic) pushing for precinct captains for Texas' 8,000 Democratic polling places. They need to train folks to lead the caucus sessions that will determine more than 60 delegates after the primary voting is over. In training materials being handed out by the Clinton campaign, it is clear that they want to control those caucus sessions. The materials say in part, "DO NOT allow the supporter of another candidate to serve in leadership roles." It goes on to say, "If our supporters are outnumbered, ask the Temporary Chair if one of our supporters can serves (sic) as the Secretary, in the interest of fairness. "The control of the sign-in sheets and the announcement of the delegates allotted to each candidate are the critical functions of the Chair and Secretary. This is why it is so important that Hillary supporters hold these positions."
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#89 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Will She Sue to Halt the Allocation of Texas Caucus Delegates?
When word leaked a few days ago that the Clinton Campaign planned to file a lawsuit at the last minute to halt the allocation of delegates based on the Democratic Caucus in Texas, the Texas Democratic Party sent a letter to both campaigns demanding that they agree not to tie up the process with a lawsuit. Both campaigns responded that they had no plans to do any such thing. The Clinton Campaign expects Obama to dominate the Texas caucuses, just as he has in most other states' caucuses, due to his superior ground organization. Last spring, while Hillary was busy musing about whether she should appoint Bill as her Secretary of State, Obama was building an unprecedented grass roots organization in ALL of the primary and caucus states. Because Hillary expected to have the nomination wrapped up by February 5th, Super Tuesday, she saw no need to waste time and money on Texas. Hillary is hoping that she might be able to pull off a slight victory in the popular vote count in the Texas primary Tuesday, in which case it is her intention to go on TV and immediately declare victory. It's quite possible that Barack Obama could lose the popular vote count and still get more delegates than Hillary from the primary, and that's without even getting to the delegates from the caucus, where he will almost certainly do better. That's when the Clinton Campaign plans to file a lawsuit challenging the Texas Democratic Party's procedure for allocation of delegates. Should she lose the popular vote outright, they may decide to leave things alone. All of a sudden, the Clinton Campaign is challenging the "fairness" of the Texas Democratic Party's delegate allocation process. This would be the same process that was approved by the Democratic National Committee and published on the state party's website in early November 2007. If the Clinton Campaign had any problems with it, they should have said something in November. The truth of the matter is that Hillary didn't expect to be still campaigning for the nomination in March. In her latest campaign ads in both Ohio and Texas she has moved to the right (meaning middle). Apparently Mark Penn figures that Ohio and Texas should be treated like a general election campaign instead of a Democratic primary. By moving more to the right on Obama, she must think that she can cut into his support among independents. I don't think it's going to work. I know that her latest tactics have certainly turned me sour on her personally compared to the way I felt just a couple months ago and I suspect she may be having the same effect on others. I'm really fed up with the pettiness of her attacks. First she floated the absurd idea that Barack Obama wasn't really black enough. Then she attacked him for having a supporter who was in trouble with the law in Chicago. Barack returned those contributions. Only a couple weeks later, Hillary had to return nearly a million bucks she received from a supporter in California who was a fugitive from the law. Then Bill Clinton compared Barack Obama's win in South Carolina with Jesse Jackson's win in South Carolina, noting that a win for Jackson in South Carolina didn't mean he had any shot at all of winning the nomination. Now she's attacking him because Louis Farrakhan said he plans to vote for him. She's attacking him because of a TV skit that poked fun at Obama's perceived aura of invincibility. In all of these attacks, she comes over as a pathetic example of a woman scorned. I realize that's a sexist comment but that's the way she's coming across, like it or not. And I am sick and tired of her campaign implying that the only reason Barack is winning is because he's getting 85% of the black vote. Bill got 90% of the black vote in the general elections of 1992 and 1996. They didn't see anything wrong with that back then. I am sick and tired of the "you should feel sorry for me because of everything I have had to put up with my entire married life being married to someone I knew was going places but who has always had problems keeping his pants zipped, and besides it's my turn now." No wonder Barack now leads her by double digits among male voters, all male voters. Hillary will win the Hispanic vote in Texas by double digits and she will win the white women over 60 demographic by double digits. That's it. Barack will beat her in Texas in virtually all of the other demographic groups.
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#90 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Hillary will be in Ohio Tuesday night...
Hillary is in Texas today, where she will hold a townhall meeting that will be televised statewide this evening, but it is significant to note that she will be in Ohio tomorrow night when the returns come in. Texas is by far the larger state. If she expected to win in Texas, she would stay in Texas and await the returns there. Of the four states up for grabs tomorrow, only two are certain: Hillary will win Rhode Island by ~10 points and Obama will win Vermont by ~20 points. Obama will probably win more delegates than Hillary in Texas but the popular vote may be very close. I see Obama winning the popular vote in Texas by ~2% but taking a much larger proportionate share of the delegates because of the weird allocation process that Texas has set up. Hillary will probably win Ohio but I don't think it will be anywhere near the 4-6% margin that most polls are predicting. I think she will take Ohio by ~3%. In any event, it appears that Hillary intends to continue with her campaign at least until after the April 22 primary in Pennsylvania, even if she loses both Texas and Ohio. I know she'll keep going if she wins Ohio. If she loses both Texas and Ohio, there will be a huge outcry from the Democratic establishment for her to drop out and probably a large number of superdelegates will commit to Obama if he wins both Texas and Ohio. We'll see. I'm waiting to see if she congratulates Obama on his victories tomorrow night. Lately she has ignored his victories. She pops up on TV following the returns and pretends that nothing happened that day. She gives her standard stump speech without even mentioning anything about the primary loses she suffered that same day. P.S. -- The latest polls -- the ones released today -- show Hillary with a lead of anywhere from 6 to 12 points in Ohio. In Texas, all of the polls show Obama ahead except for one that shows Hillary winning Texas by 6 points. I think the poll that shows Hillary winning Texas by six points is way off. All of the other polls in Texas have Obama winning by a margin of one to three points. These latest polls all show a slight improvement for Hillary, especially in Ohio, compared to polls released just two or three days ago.
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#91 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Finger-pointing in the Clinton Campaign
Harold Ickes says blame Mark Penn for everything that has gone wrong with Hillary's campaign. Mark Penn says "Don't blame me, I'm just an outside message advisor." By virtually all accounts, Mark Penn has been the guy setting strategy for Hillary's campaign and he's the guy who insisted that she go negative after Obama swept the Potomac primaries. P.S. -- Mark Penn is now crediting the fear factor ad (the red telephone ringing at 3 a.m.) with the improvement in Hillary's poll numbers over the past two or three days. That's a stupid ad. And what is Hillary doing answering the phone at 3 a.m. fully dressed like she's getting ready to go to church? Does she sleep with all her clothes on?
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#92 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Obama will be in Texas today and tomorrow...
Obama has no plans to go to Ohio either today or tomorrow. He's staying in Texas. New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson has spoken out against Hillary's red telephone fear factor ad. Yesterday on CBS's "Face the Nation," Richardson said, "I happen to disagree with that ad that says that Senator Obama is not ready. He is ready. He has great judgment, an internationalist background." My prediction: If Obama wins Texas, Bill Richardson will endorse him. If Hillary wins both Texas and Ohio, he may hold off a little while longer. I still haven't figured out what John Edwards is up to. It's possible he intends to wait all the way up to the convention without publicly endorsing either candidate. I thought he was about to endorse Obama and then he just sort of dropped out of sight. I think the endorsement that will hurt the GOP the most is when Colin Powell endorses Obama. I'm just not sure if he will wait until after both conventions or not.
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#93 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Obama Campaign Responds to Mark Penn's Idiotic Memo
March 3, 2008 TO: Interested Parties From: David Plouffe, Campaign Manager, Obama for America RE: The Real Meaning of March 4th Clinton Chief Strategist Mark Penn: “After March 4th, over 3000 delegates will be committed, and we project that Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama will be virtually tied with 611 delegates still to be chosen in Pennsylvania and other remaining states. Again and again, this race has shown that it is voters and delegates who matter, not the pundits or perceived ‘momentum.’” [Mark Penn memo, 2/13/08] Clinton aide Guy Cecil: "We think that at the end of the day on March 4 we will be within 25 delegates.” [Politico, 2/13/08] Howard Wolfson: “I Think We Will Be Ahead In The Delegate Race After Texas And Ohio.” [Clinton campaign conference call, 2/11/08] New York Times: “Clinton advisers have said Mrs. Clinton must win the Texas and Ohio primaries by at least 10 percentage points if she has any hope of catching up with Mr. Obama in the delegate count, particularly because he has shown momentum recently at picking up support from elected officials who count as superdelegates.” [NYT, 2/22/08] ------------------------------------------- By their own clear definition of where they expected and believed they needed to be after Ohio and Texas, the Clinton campaign will fall terribly short on March 4th. The Obama pledged delegate lead stands at 162. The question for the Clinton campaign if they do not significantly erode that lead on Tuesday is what plausible path they have to even up the pledged delegates in the remaining contests. There are 611 pledged delegates left after March 4th’s contests. They would need to win at least 62% of all remaining pledged delegates to get back to even. And while they have often talked about Pennsylvania – where public polls show their lead deteriorating rapidly – the Wyoming caucuses on March 8th and Mississippi primary or March 11th could potentially result in more pledged delegates netted to the winner than on March 4th. So it is clear that narrow popular vote wins in Texas and Ohio will do very little to improve their nearly impossible path to the nomination. If they do not win Texas and Ohio by healthy double digit margins – and they led by healthy double digit margins as recently as two weeks ago - they will be facing almost impossible odds to reverse the delegate math. While the Clintons gamely continue to try to move the goal posts, at some point there has to be a reckoning. It is a very simple question – what is their path to secure the nomination? No amount of spin can change the math. We look forward to their tortured answers on Wednesday morning. The Clinton campaign has insisted that this is a race about delegates. And we agree. The tale of March 4th is not who wins what states but where the delegate battle stands after all the delegate yield for all four of these contests have been allocated. P.S. -- It's really all over already. They can't move the goal posts anymore or they'll be in the stands. Even if Clinton wins Texas by 2 to 3 points, Ohio by 8 to 10 points and Pennsylvania by 15-20 points, she cannot overtake Obama's delegate lead. Even if Obama only wins Vermont tomorrow and goes on to lose big in Pennsylvania, he has enough of a delegate lead and enough sure-win states left that Hillary cannot catch up to him. Even under the most generous scenario for Hillary, she will enter the convention at least 100 delegates behind Obama. I still think Obama will win more Texas delegates than Hillary and probably win the popular vote in Texas, too. He will win Vermont by a wide margin but probably lose Rhode Island by a wide margin. If we're really lucky, all of the Ohio polls will turn out to have been wrong and Obama will either barely win or just barely lose in Ohio. _________________________________________________ "If she wins Texas and Ohio I think she will be the nominee. If you don't deliver for her, I don't think she can be. It's all on you." -- Bill Clinton, Feb. 20, 2008, telling an audience in Beaumont, Texas that Hillary must win both Texas and Ohio to have a shot at the nomination.
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#94 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Hillary wants to remind us that she's just as old as John McCain:
"I think that I have a lifetime of experience that I will bring to the White House. I know Senator McCain has a lifetime of experience that he will bring to the White House. And Senator Obama has a speech he gave in 2002." -- Hillary Clinton, who seems to be confused about which political party she supports.Adios, Hillary.
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#95 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Delegate Totals Going Into March 4 Primaries
Pledged Delegates...Obama 1,193...Clinton 1,038...Obama ahead by 155 Total Delegates......Obama 1,392...Clinton 1,279...Obama ahead by 113 Popular Vote...Obama 10,451,927...Clinton 9,540,370...Obama ahead by 911,557 The latest polls show Clinton ahead by ~6% in Ohio and Obama ahead by less than 1% in Texas. Even if Obama loses the popular primary vote in Texas, he could still get more Texas delegates than Hillary because of the way they are apportioned and because 67 delegates will be awarded by the caucus that takes place after the polls close. Obama will probably win the caucus.
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#96 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
FOX Attacks Obama
Video clip of just a few of the lies the corrupt FOX News channel has been airing about Barack Obama. FOX invents the news. They just make stuff up, like a few days ago when they reported that a "big Obama fan" attakced a Secret Service Agent in Austin, Texas. The woman was an irate state employee who was upset that she was being blocked from returning to her office. And during that completely fabricated "news" story, FOX included a video clip of black civil rights protesters from the 1960's being hosed down in Alabama, something that had absolutely nothing to do with a white woman arrested for hitting the Secret Service agent in the face with her egg salad.
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#97 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Latest Polls All Over the Place
They actually released new polls today that show a continued movement toward Hillary. Mark Penn is telling everybody that his strategy of non-stop attacks on Obama is working. He claims that his 3 a.m. phone call "vote for me or die" ad is responsible for moving the numbers by at least two or three points in both Texas and Ohio. We'll see. If you average the latest polls, they show Hillary with an 8-point lead in Ohio and a 2-point lead in Texas. One poll even has Hillary with a 6-point lead in Texas. The Zogby poll, believe it or not, has Hillary and Obama tied in Ohio but Hillary ahead by 3 points in Texas. The Zogby poll released yesterday had Obama ahead by 3 points in Texas. That's a swing of 6 points in one day. Today's Zogby poll has it tied 44-44 in Ohio and Hillary ahead 47-44 in Texas. Most polls have Hillary ahead by 6-8 points in Ohio and at least one poll has her ahead by 12 points in Ohio. Most polls had Obama ahead by 2-3 points in Texas as recently as two days ago but those same polls now show Texas as either a tie or Clinton ahead by 1-2 points. A couple of important points to remember about most of these polls: the sample size is too small, often no more than 600-700. They're all reporting what they refer to as "likely voters." Each polling firm has it own method for arriving at "likely voters." They take the raw data and then adjust it based on what they expect the actual turnout will be among various demographic groups. This doesn't work very well unless you have a very large sample size to work with. And it doesn't work at all if your predictions, usually based on past elections, turn out to be wrong when it comes to this election. No doubt they are looking at this year's exit poll data from earlier states to help them estimate turnout patterns but it's still all guesswork. I think the best Hillary can expect tonight would be to win Ohio by 8 points and Texas by 3 points. I would be surprised if she does any better than that. She will win Rhode Island easily and Obama will win Vermont easily. After you allow for the fact that Obama could easily win more delegates in Texas than Hillary even if she wins the popular vote by 2-3 points, you come to the realization that Hillary will not net more than 10 delegates overall from the four states. Right now Obama has a lead of 155 pledged delegates. Assuming Hillary has a very good night in Ohio, Texas and Rhode Island, Obama's still going to have a lead of at least 145 pledged delegates going into Pennsylvania. If you look at the remaining states, even if you give Hillary a huge win in Pennsylvania, she can't overtake Obama in pledged delegates. Several of the remaining states are going to go to Obama. In fact, unless she can persuade most of the uncommitted superdelegates to support her, she can't even overtake him in total delegates. As it stands right now, it looks like Obama enters the convention with a lead of at least 100 pledged delegates. Even if Hillary can get the Michigan and Florida delegates counted, she still won't overtake Obama in elected delegates. For Hillary to win the nomination, she would need a large percentage of the superdelegates to go for her and ignore the fact that Obama won more elected delegates. What the Democrats really need tonight is a victory by Obama in Texas, even if it's only a very close win. If Hillary wins both Texas and Ohio, she will credit her get-nasty campaign tactics and things will only get worse between now and the convention. Hillary wants to win at any cost.
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#98 | |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Quote:
"Granted, I am a little older and I have earned every wrinkle on my face and I feel just as energized about what we are doing," Clinton told a crowd of supporters on Monday in Austin. It's all part of her new campaign theme: Vote for me or John McCain or you will all die! Maybe she's shooting for the VP spot on the GOP ticket?
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
|
#99 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Something I Didn't Expect to See From Another Democrat
Hillary Clinton has a new attack ad against Barack Obama running today. She's using a clip from the Democratic Candidates most recent debate where Tim Russert questions Obama about his chairmanship of a Senate sub-committee on Afghanistan. I would like to point out that Joe Biden is the Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. If Biden wanted Obama to hold hearings on Afghanistan, he would have asked him to do so. Chairmen of subcommittees rarely hold hearings without the consent and direction of the chairman of the full committee. However, that's not the point of this post. In order to appreciate the point of this post, you will have to view the original debate clip and compare it to the exact same clip in Hillary's attack commercial. Here is the original debate clip. You will have to pause it at exactly 4:39 into the clip and then open a new browser to view Hillary's new attack ad and pause it at exactly 12 seconds into the clip. Notice anything different? Notice how much darker Barack is in Hillary's attack ad? She will stop at nothing in her futile quest for the nomination. She isn't going to win but she will do as much damage as she possibly can to the Democratic party's nominee in the process. Maybe she should join Little Joe Lieberman at the Republican convention and help him endorse John McCain? I am sick and tired of Hillary's petty, vindictive, racist attacks on Barack. She is splitting the Democratic party and providing entertainment for the right-wingers in the GOP, like comedian Rush Limbaugh, who is urging Republicans to vote for Hillary in Texas today so that the mudslinging in the Democratic race will continue as long as possible. Do you remember how Time magazine photoshopped O.J. Simpson's mugshot for their June 27, 1994 cover? Both Newsweek and Time ran the exact same mugshot on their June 27, 1994 covers but somehow O.J. looked a lot darker on Time's cover. The pathetic Clinton Campaign has pulled the same racist trick with the video clip they ran of Obama answering Tim Russert's question. P.S. -- I'll make it easy for you. I'm attaching unretouched photos of Obama from Hillary's campaign ad and a photo of him at the exact same point in the original clip from the Democratic Debate. Notice how much darker his skin is in Hillary's commercial?
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|
|
|
#100 |
|
Moderator
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 20,311
|
Re: Barack Obama for President
Bill Clinton tells us why we should vote for Obama.
We should vote for Obama because he doesn't stoop to cheap scare tactics copied right out of Karl Rove's playbook. P.S. -- There are dozens of YouTube parodies of Hillary's scary 3 a.m. phone call ad. One of the best has Hillary telling the caller, "No, Bill's not here. I just told you it's 3 a.m."
__________________
Ninong |
|
|
|